No recession? Strong U.S. growth tops estimates

It is conventional wisdom today that all of the United States of America, including California, are in a recession. However, as is often the case, the conventional wisdom appears to be incorrect:

A recession is typically defined as two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth, but the just-released second quarter 2008 U.S. economic growth rate numbers show a healthy growth rate of 3.3%, akin to the average rate of growth in the Reagan and Clinton administration "boom" years, and topping estimates of 1.9% (which accounted for the economic stimulus rebate checks). Q1 2008's growth rate was weak but positive, and Q4 2007 was recorded at negative 0.2% (-0.2%).

The U.S. Labor Department also reported a decrease in new unemployment claims numbers.

Arguably, one upshot of these figures is that those who believe now is not a good time to start or expand a business may not be correct.

See also UCLA forecast sees no California recession, San Francisco Chronicle, March 11, 2008:

[T]he UCLA Anderson Forecast predict that damage from the collapse of housing will be contained and that the state's feeble economy will avoid a headlong dive into negative territory.

Real estate weakness will remain a significant drag on the economy, leaving us treading water in 2008, but not slipping under the waves into recession," the report concludes.

December 2008 Update: An official U.S. recession was announced, with its effective start being named as December 2007.

Counterintuitive Ways to Save Money as Applied to Legal Services

TheStreet.com recently posted an article by Jeffrey Strain entitled 7 Counterintuitive Ways to Improve Finances, some of the advice in which applies, in the opinion of this blog's author, to something few people enjoy, but which can end up saving money in the long run; that is, spending money on legal fees:

Earnest attempts to save money here and there don't always add up to much. When traditional methods fail, it's time to consider a few counterintuitive options.

Spend Money

If you want to get the most for your money, you are going to have to spend. One of the biggest mistakes people make when they are trying to get their finances in order is to stop spending money alogether.

Not all spending is the same. You should limit unnecessary purchases, but spending on essential upkeep, preventive measures and items that will save money in the long run is vital for getting and keeping your finances in order. Scrimp now on items and services that can help prevent larger expenses in the long run--such as routine car maintenance and energy-saving bulbs--and you could pay for it later. . . .

Think estate planning for disability and death, forming a corporation or limited liability company for your business. Having proper Web site terms of use, privacy policies, and vendor and employment contracts in place before you are sued.

Don't Buy What Is Cheapest

"Cheap" rarely means "the best value." To get the most out of your hard-earned money, you must think value rather than price. A car that is inexpensive, but costs a lot to drive and needs frequent repairs has less value than a car with a higher price tag but costs less to run and maintain.

This concept of buying value over price can be applied to anything and will mean that you rarely buy items which are the least expensive. . . .

Think online "incorporation services", paralegal and document preparation services, as well as high-volume or newly-admitted-to-the-bar "discount" lawyers versus established, experienced, and more costly attorneys provided personal service.

See also:

Online incorporation services review;

The Top Ten Distinctions Between Millionaires and the Middle Classby Keith Cameron Smith (2007) (Millionaires think and plan long term; the middle class does not.); and

The Millionaire Next Doorby Thomas J. Stanley & William D. Danko (1998) (Millionaires think long term; willing to spend a lot on important, long terms, and preventative things and measures, but not much on the instant gratification of new cars, clothes, or jewelry.).

Federal Minimum Wage Increase

The federal minimum wage increases from $5.85 to $6.55 per hour, effective today, July 24, 2008. The minimum wage will increase to $7.25 next year.

Note that the California minimum wage applicable to California employers and employees is already higher than the current or future federal increases.

Employee versus Independent Contractor

California's Employment Development Department (EDD), in conjunction with the Internal Revenue Service (IRS), is offering a seminar on employment status issues; that is, whether a worker is an employee or independent contractor. The seminar is available live from time to time, but also online as a webinar or on CD, free. The seminar offers an overview of California law in this area, as well as debunking some common employer misconceptions.

CA EDD Payroll Tax Seminars

IRS Increases Standard Mileage Rate

The IRS has announced that, effective July 1, 2008, the standard mileage rate will increase from 50.5 cents per business mile to 58.5 per business mile. The change is in recognition of higher gasoline costs.

The medical and moving rate also increases, from 19 to 20c per mile, but the charitable purposes rate of 14c remains unchanged.

The 2009 mileage rate has yet to be determined and announced.

To those Californians that wonder, if - given the higher gas costs here - the rate varies state by state, the answer is no, although, for some taxpayers in certain instances, using actual automobile operating expenses rather than the standard mileage rate is an option that should be discussed with their accountant. Employers typically reimburse employees for business miles at the IRS standard rate.

Same-Sex Marriage in California; Domestic Partnerships

As a result of the California Supreme Court's recent ruling that prohibiting gay marriage violates the California Constitution, many Golden State gay couples, who had previously registered at the state level as domestic partners, are wondering whether to dissolve their domestic partnership, before or following their gay marriage? This recent San Francisco Chronicle article sheds some light on the topic, and reports that state legislature attorneys advise that the domestic partnership need not be dissolved, prior to such any such marriage:

Same-sex couples who are registered as domestic partners do not have to dissolve that union before getting married, attorneys that advise the state Legislature said Thursday, just as county clerks and other local officials met to determine how they will enact last week's historic state Supreme Court ruling.

Given the possibility (perhaps even the likelihood, given the decisive ballot-box victory of the California Defense of Marriage Act in 2000) that California voters will turn out at polling places and amend the state constitution to prohibit gay marriage this November by passing Proposition 8, it is in fact probably advisable, though of course legally untested at this point, for gay couples to maintain domestic partner registration following and during their marriage, which would presumably remain in effect, following and despite any termination of their legal marriages due to a change in the law.

Self-Directed IRAs and Real Estate Investing

Self-directed IRAs, for real estate investing and for other purposes, are gaining in popularity. One company that offers self-directed IRA services, Pensco Trust, has put together a plain-English overview that is recommended background reading for anyone who is interested in learning more about self-directed retirement account investing options:

Pensco Trust Self-Directed IRA Top 50 FAQs [Link opens a PDF document.]